Uncertainty

Contingent Asset
An asset for which the pay-off depends upon future events that are not under the control of the company holding the asset.
States of the World
The concept of states of the world in economics, encompassing the possible future outcomes for an economy under uncertainty.
Ambiguity
A situation where a decision-maker knows possible events but not their exact probabilities.
Expected Utility
A measure used in economics to denote the anticipated value of an uncertain situation in relation to wealth.
Fan Chart
A visual representation where the past shows actual values and the future presents a range of forecast values, illustrating the uncertainty in economic forecasts.
Minimax Regret
A decision rule in decision theory for minimizing the maximum potential regret across various actions under uncertainty.
Partial Adjustment
An overview of partial adjustment in economic decision-making, including its rationale and implications.
Precautionary Motive
The motive to hold money to provide for the unexpected. See also demand for money.
Risk
A form of uncertainty where, while the actual outcome of an action is not known, probabilities can be assigned to each of the possible outcomes.