bygones

Past events which play no part in rational present decision-making in the context of economics.

Background

When making business and economic decisions, it’s crucial to focus on the present and the future rather than the past. Past events, known as bygones, should not influence the logical assessment of present options.

Historical Context

The notion of ignoring bygones stems from traditional economic theory, which emphasizes rational decision-making based on current and future predictions rather than historical performance or events.

Definitions and Concepts

Bygones refer to past events, decisions, or expenditures that are irrelevant to current decision-making processes. Common examples include sunk costs and previous profits or losses that should not impact current expectations or operational choices.

Major Analytical Frameworks

Classical Economics

Ignores bygones in favor of present marginal utility and productivity.

Neoclassical Economics

Treats bygones—such as sunk costs—as irrelevant, reiterating that only marginal costs and benefits matter in decision-making.

Keynesian Economics

While focusing on aggregate demand in present and future terms, it consigns past expenditure and outcomes to the realm of bygones.

Marxian Economics

Often examines historical material conditions, but in decision-making on current resources, bygones remain irrelevant.

Institutional Economics

Although institutional memory can be valued, the rational present actions overshadow bygones.

Behavioral Economics

Recognizes that individuals may irrationally allow bygones to affect decisions, countering with strategies to minimize such effects.

Post-Keynesian Economics

Emphasizes contemporary financial diagnostics, persistent in ignoring irrelevant the bygones.

Austrian Economics

Focuses on dynamically adjusting to current market signals, disregarding bygones for present decision rationality.

Development Economics

Prioritizes forward-looking policies for growth and development, treating bygones as non-influential.

Monetarism

Concentrates on present monetary supply and policies, rendering previous monetary excesses or shortfalls into bygones territory.

Comparative Analysis

Economists converge on the understanding that bygones should not interfere with rational decision-making. The principle is uniformly applied across various sub-fields within the discipline, considering only forward-looking actions as economically sound.

Case Studies

Numerous business case studies demonstrate failures resulting from the failure to disregard bygones, showcasing the importance of this economic principle.

Suggested Books for Further Studies

  1. “Thinking, Fast and Slow” by Daniel Kahneman
  2. “Predictably Irrational” by Dan Ariely
  3. “Nudge: Improving Decisions About Health, Wealth, and Happiness” by Richard H. Thaler and Cass R. Sunstein
  • Sunk Costs: Costs that have already been incurred and cannot be recovered.
  • Opportunity Cost: The next best alternative foregone as a result of a decision.
  • Rational Decision-Making: The process of making choices that are consistent with one’s goals and are optimal given the available information.
Wednesday, July 31, 2024